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Picture the scene of domestic placidity as I make my way out to the bench in the front garden, a self imposed temporary exile so that I can enjoy a cigar before repose. Being far from home, my customary dark rum night cap is supplemented by a short wave radio.
I have just heard that the British Prime Minister's poll rating has plummeted from 51% to 29% in the space of two weeks.
I know that this is a statistical freak, a 'spike' which will correct itself before long, but I am still deeply pained. Has the Prime Minister actually crossed the line between economy with the truth and outright lying and then been caught? Has he been found with his hand in the till, up a skirt, round a windpipe? Or, less likely, has the Leader of the Opposition found the politician's equivalent of the alchemist's stone?
None of this appears to be the case. Here is the story so far. In April 2000 the United Kingdom Parliament approved a modest rise in the taxation on fuel without a murmur.
In the budget, the Labour Government had abandoned its practice, and that of its Conservative predecessors, of increasing gasoline and diesel taxation at 3% above inflation. This so-called "Escalator" had ostensibly been introduced as an ecological measure but was nothing more than another way of getting more tax.
As this pretence had been rumbled the 'stealth' tax was no longer stealthy so the escalator was halted.
In early August there was a call by truck drivers, supported by right-wing newspapers, to boycott gas stations for a single day to protest at the rising price of fuel, almost entirely resulting from the rise in the world price of oil. A few trucks drove in convoy clogging up city centres but that was that. Then, a week later, the French fishermen protested about the rising price of boat fuel. They were supported by truckers and farmers, the Channel ports and Tunnel to England were blockaded. The right-wing papers said this was a scandal. The French government caved in and was castigated by them as pitiful.
ON FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20, JUDICIAL WATCH WILL BE HOSTING A PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE BETWEEN ALL SEVEN CANDIDATES WHO ARE ON THE BALLOT IN STATES WITH A COMBINED TOTAL OF 270 OR MORE VOTES. OF THESE, EVERYONE EXCEPT GEORGE W. BUSH HAS ACCEPTED THE INVITATION. (AL GORE HAS ACCEPTED!)
THE DEBATE BEGINS AT 8:00 PM AND ENDS AT ABOUT 9:30 PM. (THE DEBATE IS CALLED "THE PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE ON ETHICS IN GOVERNMENT" - ALTHOUGH THIS MAY SEEM LIKE A NARROW ISSUE AT FIRST, ULTIMATELY IT RELATES TO EVERY ISSUE - AT HEART, ISN'T NADER RUNNING BECAUSE HE SEES ETHICAL LAPSES IN GOVERNMENT? AREN'T THEY ALL? ISSUES FROM CAMPAIGN FINANCING TO EDUCATION TO ABORTION ALL HAVE ETHICAL QUALITIES).
THIS IS NOT A JOKE! MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE DEBATE IS AVAILABLE AT http://www.judicialwatch.org .
As the situation eased, three things were clear.
There are, accordingly, three lessons which need to be learned.
The sad but crucial lesson is that no matter how idealists may urge a government to be brave, to stand up to the "Right", to pragmatists, to a biased media, the first imperative of any government --- but particularly one with leanings towards the progressive --- is to be ultra cautious.
If a Government as cautious and competent as Blair's can have its poll rating almost halved by a combination of a few economic terrorists supported by the press then the consequences of progressive bravery cannot be contemplated.
There is a final lesson to be learned with which the United States will sympathise. If there is a choice between cheap gasoline for automobiles and an adequate environment for our grandchildren, we will choose our own personal selfishness.
Next time you see a dewy-eyed Granddad talking about how much he wants to make a better world for his grandchildren, ask him what fuel tax he will pay and what cut in consumption he will tolerate in order to ensure what he desires.
Blair, through skill and good luck, will almost certainly recover from this political setback but the country will not; this hysteria of irrationality and selfishness has marked another stage in our terminal decline. To perfidy, never wholly useless in diplomacy, as the French will attest, we have added fickleness.
PERFIDIOUS ALBION! - KEVIN CAREY says that Britain's reaction to the global oil price rise marks a further stage in its decline.
Suddenly the chill of the Spring air is cleft by a yet chillier phenomenon. A shrieked "Perfidious Albion!" slices through the gloom, Hitchcock fashion; but this is no learned Antipodean after Bossuet, nor even a Frenchman robbed on the line at the Sydney Games nor even relegated by a bent judge in the diving competition. No; this is me.
The price of oil on the world market continued to rise and, prompted by the French example, British truckers, backed by the right-wing press, decided to mount its own campaign for lower prices by blockading refineries so that supply tankers could not leave. The protests were tiny, comprising independent truckers, cab drivers, farmers (who receive specially dyed fuel at five American Cents per litre) and people dressed in hunting clothes who are opposed to the ban on fox hunting.
FOR THOSE FRUSTRATED BY THE FASCIST REPUBLICRAT DEBATE, AN OPPORTUNITY TO WATCH PHILLIPS, BROWNE, NADER, BUCHANAN, AND HAGELIN DEBATE GORE (AND MAYBE BUSH):
Such is the accountant's dislike of idle stock that within three days the country's private transport had ground to a halt and public services were in danger. The police had powers to dislodge the protesters but did not use them. As the protesters were not in a body corporate, such as a labour union, they could not be prosecuted under laws against picketing. On this basis, the Government had no party with which it could negotiate. It pleaded with the protesters to lift these phantom blockades and it urged the oil companies to instruct drivers to distribute fuel but the companies said the tanker drivers were frightened of the non-existent threats.
On that bench in the quiet night of Western Australia my faith in my silly, selfish country was finally broken forever.
This week's Poll: My next Significant Other will...?
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